On December 7, 2024, at UFC 310 in the iconic T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, an electrifying welterweight co-main event will feature two undefeated fighters: Shavkat “Nomad” Rakhmonov and Ian “The Future” Garry. This high-stakes clash promises to be a pivotal moment in the welterweight division, with both fighters vying for supremacy and a step closer to title contention. Early predictions, betting odds, and expert picks suggest a thrilling battle of styles, as Rakhmonov’s grappling prowess faces off against Garry’s striking finesse.
Betting Odds
Rakhmonov is the favorite due to his dominant grappling and finishing skills. Garry, though an underdog, has proven himself against high-level strikers and remains a dangerous opponent.
Fighter Profiles and Analysis
This matchup pits Rakhmonov’s grappling and submission prowess against Garry’s elite striking and tactical acumen. Each fighter brings unique strengths and vulnerabilities to the cage, setting the stage for a clash of contrasting styles.
| Age: 30 | Leg Reach: 42″ |
| Height: 6’1” | Fighting Style: Well-Rounded |
| Weight: 170 lbs | Stance: Orthodox |
| Reach: 77″ | Record: 18-0-0 (8 KOs, 10 Submissions, 0 Decisions) |
Notable Strengths
Exceptional grappler with 10 submission wins, a solid striking base, and a seamless ability to mix striking and grappling. His calmness under pressure makes him dangerous in all phases of the fight.
Weaknesses
Less experience against elite-level strikers, which could expose vulnerabilities in stand-up exchanges if Garry maintains distance.
| Age: 24 | Leg Reach: 42″ |
| Height: 6’3” | Fighting Style: Striker |
| Weight: 170.3 lbs | Stance: Orthodox |
| Reach: 74″ | Record: 15-0-0 (7 KOs, 1 Submission, 7 Decisions) |
Notable Strengths
Crisp striking, exceptional movement, and excellent distance management. His ability to outpoint opponents over three rounds while avoiding damage showcases his tactical IQ.
Weaknesses
Grappling remains untested at the highest level, potentially leaving him vulnerable against an elite wrestler and submission artist like Rakhmonov.
Recent Fight History and Form
| Shavkat Rakhmonov | Ian Garry | |
| Win 🟩 Opponent: Stephen Thompson Method: Submission, Round 2 (4:56) | Last Fight | 🟩 Win Opponent: Michael Page Method: Decision, Round 3 (5:00) |
| Win 🟩 Opponent: Geoff Neal Method: Submission, Round 3 (4:17) | 2nd Last Fight | 🟩 Win Opponent: Geoff Neal Method: Decision, Round 3 (5:00) |
| Win 🟩 Opponent: Neil Magny Method: Submission, Round 2 (4:58) | 3rd Last Fight | 🟩 Win Opponent: Neil Magny Method: Decision, Round 3 (5:00) |
| Win 🟩 Opponent: Carlston Harris Method: KO, Round 1 (4:10) | 4th Last Fight | 🟩 Win Opponent: Daniel Rodriguez Method: TKO, Round 1 (2:57) |
| Win 🟩 Opponent: Michel Prazeres Method: Submission, Round 2 (2:10) | 5th Last Fight | 🟩 Win Opponent: Kenan Song Method: TKO, Round 3 (4:22) |
Both Shavkat Rakhmonov and Ian Garry enter this fight with perfect records, but their recent forms reveal contrasting paths to success. Rakhmonov has demonstrated a dominant finishing ability, with all his last five wins coming via stoppage—three submissions and one knockout—against high-caliber opponents like Stephen Thompson and Geoff Neal. This highlights his ability to end fights decisively, particularly on the ground.
In contrast, Garry has shown strong consistency in striking-focused battles, securing three decision victories and two knockouts in his last five outings. His ability to maintain control over the pace and range has been instrumental, though his opponents were less grappling-intensive compared to Rakhmonov’s. The takeaway is clear: Rakhmonov’s finishing ability makes him a threat at any moment, while Garry’s endurance and precision in prolonged exchanges provide him with an edge if the fight stays standing.
Expected Strategy
Prediction and Picks
Prediction: Shavkat Rakhmonov Wins by Submission (Round 2)
Rakhmonov’s track record of finishing opponents via submission demonstrates his effectiveness on the ground. With 10 submission wins and recent dominance over elite opponents like Stephen Thompson, his grappling is a clear advantage. Garry’s limited experience against elite grapplers and a lack of proven defensive skills in such scenarios could lead to an early submission loss if Rakhmonov secures a takedown.
Recommended Picks
Rakhmonov’s all-around skillset and grappling expertise should see him maintain his undefeated record in this highly anticipated welterweight clash.
